Why Germany should recapture Sudetenland?

In the twentieth Century there are two major exodus of people. One is from Palestine where Jews expelled close upon one million Arabs in 1948. The other is Slavs of Czechoslovakia expelled roughly 3 million Germans from Sudetenland in 1945. Let me give a briefing on the German expulsion:

Germany was too weak at that time having been defeated and devastated in the aftermath of WWII. The expulsion of Germans from Sudetenland was in a manner of speaking, sanctioned by the victorious allies Britain, America and the Soviet Union at the Potsdam Conference citing outwardly the necessity to create ethnically homogeneous states to prevent future conflicts. Inwardly, they wreaked vengeance over the innocent Germans living in the Sudetenland. Taking a cue from this, Edvard Benes who was the President of Czechoslovakia at that time, issued the infamous Benes Decrees that stripped Germans living in Sudetenland their citizenship along with their property rights leading ultimately to their forced expulsion.

Let me give my reasons as to why Germany should recapture Sudetenland now!

1. German citizens who were expelled lost their homeland called Heimat. They were never compensated for their loss of citizenship and/ or properties gabbed by the Slavs. This rank injustice has no parallel in the recent history of European affairs. Even after being naturalized in Germany proper the victims still yearn for returning home to Sudetenland.

2.  The post war Germany had to carry the burden of collective guilt for causing WWII, or so it seems, due to continuous propaganda by the victorious allies who unable to get at Adolf Hitler had pleasure in bashing the average Germans for being once part of the Third Reich.

3. The ruling elite in Germany wish to play ball with their western allies by persuading the grieving Germans to forget the past and accept the current situation of being stripped of rightful ownership of Sudetenland as de facto matter and urging the German nation as a whole to move out of any personal feeling of loss

4. In German political scene, EU is portrayed as providing a platform of borderless Europe and the connectivity arising from this is painted as a better compensation for losing Sudetenland.

5. Geoeconomics makes it crystal clear that Sudetenland is vital for Germany, in sustaining the use of assets, economic growth and the living space called as Lebensraum. Both Northern Bohemia and Northern Moravia are vital conduits for industrial expansion whereas. Sudeten Mountain gives strategic depth.

6. Abundant resources in lignite mines, coal & steel, clay & glass, textiles mark Sudetenland as a coveted price that cannot be lost to the Slavs. Moreover, once populated by 90% of Germans Sudetenland must be brought in as German possession.

The Fuhrer was right in 1938 by annexing Sudetenland in accordance with the terms of Munich Agreement. Friedrich Merz led German ruling coalition must “navigate strategy amid geoeconomics” and move ahead in the process of recapturing Sudetenland from the Slavs ASAP!

 

Cheers!

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Strategy Adviser

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Strategy Adviser

 

 

 

 

Collapse is coming to Germany

Do I sound pessimistic? Not really! Any observer can detect number of signs over the horizon indicating slow but steady collapse of Germany is on the way. Pity that neither rulers nor the ruled read these obvious signs. Let me enumerate few:

My search is limited to economics and geoeconomics. When we say economics it covers mainly the domestic side whereas geoeconomics include both domestic status as well as international status. Here we go:

1. Dwindling propensity towards manufacturing and over emphasizing service sector is key indicator. Promoting service industry which by and large has become the mainstay at 70% of the GDP is the first warning sign. Loss of manufacturing capacity emerges due to neglect, diversification and establishing new factories that have ability to process raw material imported from elsewhere. Look at the EV industry. Nearly 39 of the 46 most relevant raw materials needed for this industry are imported. It is indeed double whammy!  In sum, domestic manufacturing eroded, dependency of input materials enhanced thereby it makes a dent in Germany’s geoeconomics clout.

2. A country creates wealth to strengthen domestic economy as priority and to enhance its own currency as follow-up matter. After getting rid of Deutsche Mark, Germany led herself and others into Eurozone whereby a common currency is being empowered often at the expense of the German public. This financial burden is very high indeed as it affects the quantum available for social security and other domestic welfare matters. Granted though this burden in a way avoids currency fluctuation of Euro the tangible benefit to German public is much less.

3. The debate between which is better, planning or innovation has not brought so far a worthy conclusion. Export drive with innovation & technology as focal points has forced Germany into rat race with China who has the capacity to duplicate, revers engineer and come with a more efficient product turned out at lesser price than the one Germany could afford to sell abroad. A proper planning process should be initiated that could spread risk among several sectors including farming, agriculture, animal husbandry, food processing, along with constriction of apartments, amenities and roadways.

4. A via–media has to be found between the extent Germany should be industrialized compared with the enhancement of human capital that needs to be sustained and developed. A good example is how much is robotics and how much is human welfare. The last thing any planner would allow is social degradation. A cursory glance shows the widening gulf between the Wessis vs Ossis. Instead of funnelling more funds to develop non-German European nations, the ruling coalition of CSU, CDU & SPD should do the utmost by bringing former citizens of East Germany into the mainstream.

You need not be a rocket scientist to discern that the points I have raised are definite signs of an impending collapse in terms of economy within and geoeconomics without. Navigating strategy amid geoeconomics is the vital necessity for the present day Germany to avoid such collapse.

 

Cheers!

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Strategy Adviser

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Strategy Adviser

 

 

 

 

 

Germany rearming, while house is divided

Bold words apart Germany is tempting on the historical pedestal of rearming once again like during the Nazi era. At that time it was too crazy; every soul seeking war. Today it is different. While the rulers want to rush into war, the public hesitates. More follows:

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is upbeat and beats the drums of war with childish enthusiasm than any Chancellors before him ever did. He is bent upon leading the transformation of peace loving nation of Germany into a country whose Bundeswehr was once condemned in the Nuremberg Trial as the chief villain responsible for the horrendous destruction of life and property in Europe and elsewhere.

The German Chief of Defence, General Carsten Breuer, while predicting that his country might be at war with Russia in the next 2 to 3 years wishes the German public to be awakened to the idea of general rearming. Expecting backlash from the public, he later toned down stating in parley with British Chief of Defence, Air Chief Marshal Sir Richard Knighton, that "rearmament is not warmongering" but only a moral case due to the consequential Ukraine war.

On the flip side there is a sense of aversion towards rearming that prevails across the board in Germany. Even within the CSU/CDU coalition, there is resentment towards militarisation. Alice Weidel of AfD is too vocal opposing any rearming for war purposes against Russia or for that matter any other opponents is not conducive towards peace & prosperity in the continent. She for one believes that the Germany must compete in the geoeconomics sphere than in military battle.

Surprisingly. within the Bundeswehr there is a tinge of opposition to take part in military manoeuvres outside the German border. Recently it was decided to send a token of military contingent to Lithuania which faces Belarus on her border. Imagine the enthusiasm in the army circles. There was no appetite for even voluntary detachment and the matter was dropped ASAP.

USA is washing off her hands in Ukraine in particular and in Western European theatre in general. NATO is struggling to keep standing and before long it would be gone. More poignant fact is that only 24% of Germans are ready to stomach increase in defence expenditure, a figure down from 37% recorded previously. An average German is least bothered about war breaking out between Germany and Russia for that matter in any part of the Western Europe. He or she is too worried about living standards, family life, housing & mortgage and educating children. If there remains some savings an average German would embark on a tourism escapade rather than getting into a battle wagon.

A divided house is the major stumbling block for German rearmament. Hence, it behoves Chancellor Merz and his team to dwell more on economics than military matters. Navigating strategy amid geoeconomics mandates that they simply do that!

 

Cheers!

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Strategy Adviser

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Strategy Adviser